The Return on Investment
For Solar Photovoltaics
(Residential Applications)


The cost of solar electric installations has dropped in the last year but so have the rebates.  The following article gives an example of the costs and benefits -

12-12-09 - Is Solar Power a Good Investment?

NOTES:

Solar System: Modules assumed are Evergreen 205 watt (DC); SMA-America inverter (no battery backup); aluminum racking system mounted on 4/12 composition shingle roof; modules located in area free of shading; dirt on modules was assumed to reduce solar gain an average of 5%.
Incentives: Current rebate is $1.10/watt (AC) and the Federal Tax Credit is 30% of the system cost (after rebate).
Financial assumptions: Home Equity Line of Credit (HELO), 7% fixed for 15 years with no points; Married couple filing jointly with $100k/yr annual income; 30 year investment period; electricity cost escalation rate 6%.
Rate Schedule: E1 (original) to E6 Net Energy Metering (NEM) available for customers of PG&E.
Analysis Tool: We used Quick Quotes from Clean Power Research, the best tool we know of for energy and economic analysis of photovoltaic systems.

Factors that will increase economic benefits: Longer loan period, low fixed rate on loan, and/or an electricity escalation rate above 5%. While the historical escalation rate (last 30 yrs) was 5% we strongly believe it will be much higher over the next 30 years; therefore, to be conservative, we've used 5% for the above analysis.

Factors that will decrease economic benefits: Paying cash instead of financing at a low fixed rate (due to mortgage interest deduction benefits). A variable rate loan (if interest rates rise over the loan period). Shading from trees and/or a lower rate of electricity cost escalation. Systems mounted on pole tops or ground-mounted arrays, which cost more than the assumed roof-mounted system, will be more costly initially; the added cost is generally returned when the cost of removing (and reinstalling) a roof-mounted array (during a re-roof) is considered. Standing seam metal roofs cost the same as a composition shingle roof while tile roofs are slightly more expensive (new construction) to considerably more expensive (existing construction).


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Last revised
01/01/10

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